AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
FIGHTING IRISH
0%
SHARKS
--
FIGHTING IRISH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
NOTRE DAME
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Notre Dame)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ND -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ND)
LIU By 1-7 points
21.6%
LIU By 8-14 points
10.7%
ND By 1-7 points
27.2%
ND By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Long Island University
62
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Notre Dame
65
NOTRE DAME
Simulated Score
Long Island University
59
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Notre Dame
78
NOTRE DAME
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Fighting Irish
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Fighting Irish
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Fighting Irish (+16)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Fighting Irish (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u135.5
Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
LIU @ ND
67 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+40.0% more
Long Island University: 4.1
vs
Notre Dame: 2.5
Steals (L5)
+22.0% more
Long Island University: 8.1
vs
Notre Dame: 6.3
Assists (L5)
+8.6% more
Long Island University: 9.4
vs
Notre Dame: 8.6
Turnovers (L5)
+8.6% more
Long Island University: 12.0
vs
Notre Dame: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIU Score
62.0
67
ND Score
65.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.3 / 29.9
52.0 / 33.0
Assists
8.6 / 9.4
15.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.5 / 4.1
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
39.6 / 43.3
49.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
72.1 / 76.7
70.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
36.7 / 37.9
45.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.3 / 8.1
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 12.0
19.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIU
--
ND
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIU
--
ND
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LIU
--
ND
22-9-0
O: 71.0% / U: 29.0%
Total +/-: +5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ND
LIU
ND
LIU
ML
65%
20-11
60%
21-14
77%
24-7
69%
24-11
ATS
55%
17-14
63%
22-13
77%
24-7
69%
24-11
TTL
68%
21-10
60%
21-14
100%
31-0
100%
35-0