AI Model Win Probability
HATTERS
100%
RAMS
0%
HATTERS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
RHODE ISLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Rhode Island)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around URI -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (URI)
STET By 1-7 points
21.6%
STET By 8-14 points
10.7%
URI By 1-7 points
27.2%
URI By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Stetson
72
STETSON
Rhode Island
75
RHODE ISLAND
Simulated Score
Stetson
68
STETSON
Rhode Island
75
RHODE ISLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+18)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
STET @ URI
62 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+33.4% more
Rhode Island: 6.4
vs
Stetson: 4.8
Rebounding (L5)
+19.0% more
Rhode Island: 36.5
vs
Stetson: 30.7
Blocks (L5)
+12.9% more
Rhode Island: 2.7
vs
Stetson: 2.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.6%
Stetson: 74.8%
vs
Rhode Island: 66.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STET Score
72.0
62
URI Score
75.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.4 / 35.3
31.0 / 32.0
Assists
12.7 / 13.5
19.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.7 / 2.4
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 46.7
52.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
66.2 / 74.8
79.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 30.7
44.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.4 / 4.8
16.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 11.6
14.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STET
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
URI
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STET
Advantage
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
URI
13-18-1
(41.9%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.6
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: -5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
URI
STET
URI
STET
ML
62%
20-12
55%
18-15
59%
19-13
73%
24-9
ATS
56%
18-14
64%
21-12
59%
19-13
73%
24-9
TTL
56%
18-14
61%
20-13
100%
32-0
100%
33-0