Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Wolfpack NCCU @ NCSU

NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

EAGLESNCCU

0-0  |  Road

66
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Lenovo Center
View Odds Details →

NC STATE

WOLFPACKNCSU

0-0  |  Home

114
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
WOLFPACK
0%
EAGLES --
WOLFPACK --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
NC STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (NC State)
EaglesNCCU (-3.5) 0 WolfpackNCSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

21.2%

Wolfpack Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NCSU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCSU)

NCCU By 1-7 points

13.7%

NCCU By 8-14 points

4.8%

NCSU By 1-7 points

25.3%

NCSU By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
69
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
77
NC STATE
Simulated Score
61
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
78
NC STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wolfpack Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolfpack Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wolfpack (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Wolfpack (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 NCCU @ NCSU 66 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +49.2% more
NC State: 2.9 vs North Carolina Central: 2.0
Rebounding (L5) +17.2% more
NC State: 31.6 vs North Carolina Central: 27.0
Free Throw % (L5) +3.1%
NC State: 78.8% vs North Carolina Central: 75.7%
Turnovers (L5) +31.6% more
North Carolina Central: 15.0 vs NC State: 10.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCCU Score 69.0 66
NCSU Score 77.0 114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.8 / 32.4 47.0 / 28.0
Assists 14.4 / 13.9 27.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.9 / 2.0 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 39.1 / 46.3 58.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 78.8 / 75.7 70.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 31.6 / 27.0 40.0 / 24.0
Steals 5.5 / 6.1 13.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 15.0 9.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCCU
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
NCSU Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 6.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCCU Advantage
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
NCSU
16-17-1 (48.5%)
Margin: 6.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NCCU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: +2.1
NCSU
21-13-0
O: 61.8% / U: 38.2% Total +/-: +6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCSU
NCCU
NCSU
NCCU
ML
59% 20-14
65% 20-11
55% 18-15
81% 22-5
ATS
71% 24-10
71% 22-9
55% 18-15
81% 22-5
TTL
71% 24-10
55% 17-14
100% 33-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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