AI Model Win Probability
BUCCANEERS
100%
HOKIES
0%
BUCCANEERS
--
HOKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Virginia Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VT -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VT)
CHSO By 1-7 points
5.8%
CHSO By 8-14 points
1.4%
VT By 1-7 points
16.9%
VT By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Charleston Southern
63
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Virginia Tech
77
VIRGINIA TECH
Simulated Score
Charleston Southern
57
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Virginia Tech
82
VIRGINIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hokies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hokies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hokies (+19.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Hokies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.5
Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
CHSO @ VT
67 - 98
Nov 25, 2022
CHSO @ VT
64 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+45.6% more
Virginia Tech: 6.6
vs
Charleston Southern: 4.5
Blocks (L5)
+41.4% more
Virginia Tech: 2.8
vs
Charleston Southern: 2.0
Turnovers (L5)
+14.9% more
Virginia Tech: 16.7
vs
Charleston Southern: 14.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
Virginia Tech: 43.0%
vs
Charleston Southern: 41.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHSO Score
63.0
67
VT Score
77.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.3 / 27.1
32.0 / 35.0
Assists
9.0 / 9.3
19.0 / 19.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.0
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 41.3
46.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
59.9 / 70.3
70.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 33.9
54.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.6 / 4.5
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
16.7 / 14.5
7.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHSO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
VT
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHSO
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
VT
Advantage
17-14-1
(54.8%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.6
VT
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VT
CHSO
VT
CHSO
ML
53%
17-15
43%
13-17
72%
23-9
67%
20-10
ATS
59%
19-13
50%
15-15
72%
23-9
68%
21-10
TTL
69%
22-10
50%
15-15
100%
32-0
100%
31-0