BRYANT
BULLDOGSBRY
0-0 | Road
66
SIENA
SAINTSSIE
0-0 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
SAINTS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
SAINTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
SIENA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Siena)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SIE -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIE)
BRY By 1-7 points
21.6%
BRY By 8-14 points
10.7%
SIE By 1-7 points
27.2%
SIE By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Bryant
75
BRYANT
Siena
78
SIENA
Simulated Score
Bryant
68
BRYANT
Siena
72
SIENA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Saints
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Saints
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Saints (+10)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Saints (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
BRY @ SIE
66 - 82
Nov 8, 2024
SIE @ BRY
90 - 88
Dec 6, 2023
BRY @ SIE
67 - 51
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.7%
Siena: 79.0%
vs
Bryant: 70.3%
Turnovers (L5)
+20.3% more
Bryant: 11.8
vs
Siena: 9.4
Rebounding (L5)
+16.2% more
Bryant: 39.2
vs
Siena: 32.8
Steals (L5)
+15.3% more
Bryant: 6.5
vs
Siena: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRY Score
75.0
66
SIE Score
78.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.2 / 27.7
31.0 / 45.0
Assists
13.1 / 14.5
19.0 / 13.0
Blocks
6.3 / 5.9
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 44.7
46.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
79.0 / 70.3
75.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
32.8 / 39.2
36.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.5 / 6.5
12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 11.8
7.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRY
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
SIE
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRY
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
SIE
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.7
SIE
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIE
BRY
SIE
BRY
ML
66%
23-12
70%
21-9
48%
16-17
80%
24-6
ATS
66%
23-12
73%
22-8
48%
16-17
80%
24-6
TTL
54%
19-16
67%
20-10
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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