WAGNER
SEAHAWKSWAG
0-0 | Road
74
VCU
RAMSVCU
0-0 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
100%
RAMS
0%
SEAHAWKS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
VCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (VCU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VCU -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VCU)
WAG By 1-7 points
10.7%
WAG By 8-14 points
3.3%
VCU By 1-7 points
23.0%
VCU By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Wagner
56
WAGNER
VCU
66
VCU
Simulated Score
Wagner
61
WAGNER
VCU
72
VCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+26.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u131.5
Loss
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim
u131.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
WAG @ VCU
74 - 103
Nov 13, 2021
WAG @ VCU
58 - 44
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+225.2% more
VCU: 4.8
vs
Wagner: 1.5
Assists (L5)
+24.4% more
VCU: 12.9
vs
Wagner: 10.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.9%
VCU: 73.6%
vs
Wagner: 59.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.2%
VCU: 32.8%
vs
Wagner: 24.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WAG Score
56.0
74
VCU Score
66.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 24.6
41.0 / 41.0
Assists
12.9 / 10.4
25.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.8 / 1.5
9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
41.8 / 37.9
50.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
73.6 / 59.8
68.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 34.7
44.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.7 / 6.5
10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 11.5
10.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAG
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
VCU
Advantage
28-8-0
(77.8%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAG
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
VCU
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
WAG
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +4.4
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VCU
WAG
VCU
WAG
ML
72%
26-10
63%
19-11
67%
22-11
57%
17-13
ATS
81%
29-7
60%
18-12
67%
22-11
57%
17-13
TTL
58%
21-15
53%
16-14
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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