AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
YELLOW JACKETS
0%
HAWKS
--
YELLOW JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Georgia Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)
UMES By 1-7 points
24.3%
UMES By 8-14 points
13.7%
GT By 1-7 points
26.2%
GT By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
38
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Georgia Tech
39
GEORGIA TECH
Simulated Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
55
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Georgia Tech
78
GEORGIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yellow Jackets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yellow Jackets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Yellow Jackets (+28.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Yellow Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
UMES @ GT
52 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+105.7% more
Georgia Tech: 4.0
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 1.9
Assists (L5)
+9.4% more
Georgia Tech: 15.2
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 13.9
Rebounding (L5)
+8.4% more
Georgia Tech: 35.2
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 32.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.8%
Georgia Tech: 75.6%
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 67.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UMES Score
38.0
52
GT Score
39.0
56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 40.6
19.0 / 26.0
Assists
15.2 / 13.9
12.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.0 / 1.9
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
40.2 / 42.4
35.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
75.6 / 67.7
50.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 32.5
40.0 / 41.0
Steals
5.9 / 5.5
13.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 12.3
13.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UMES
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
GT
Advantage
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UMES
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
GT
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.5
GT
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GT
UMES
GT
UMES
ML
61%
19-12
66%
21-11
63%
19-11
81%
21-5
ATS
55%
17-14
69%
22-10
63%
19-11
81%
21-5
TTL
61%
19-12
66%
21-11
100%
30-0
100%
26-0