Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Delta Devils @ Blazers MVSU @ UAB

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE

DELTA DEVILSMVSU

0-0  |  Road

55
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:30 PM ET
Bartow Arena
View Odds Details →

UAB

BLAZERSUAB

0-0  |  Home

106
AI Model Win Probability
DELTA DEVILS
100%
📊
BLAZERS
0%
DELTA DEVILS --
BLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
UAB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (UAB)
Delta DevilsMVSU (-3.5) 0 BlazersUAB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Delta Devils Cover

15.9%

Blazers Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UAB -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAB)

MVSU By 1-7 points

10.7%

MVSU By 8-14 points

3.3%

UAB By 1-7 points

23.0%

UAB By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
63
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
73
UAB
Simulated Score
58
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
88
UAB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blazers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blazers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blazers (+35) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Blazers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.0 Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u146.0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 MVSU @ UAB 55 - 106
Dec 22, 2021 MVSU @ UAB 58 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +54.8% more
UAB: 42.6 vs Mississippi Valley State: 27.5
Assists (L5) +40.8% more
UAB: 15.3 vs Mississippi Valley State: 10.9
Blocks (L5) +28.8% more
UAB: 3.3 vs Mississippi Valley State: 2.6
Steals (L5) +15.6% more
UAB: 6.0 vs Mississippi Valley State: 5.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MVSU Score 63.0 55
UAB Score 73.0 106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.1 / 40.1 35.0 / 24.0
Assists 15.3 / 10.9 18.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.6 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.2 / 41.9 50.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 81.4 / 69.3 62.0 / 95.0
Rebounding 42.6 / 27.5 49.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.0 / 5.2 17.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 9.7 / 14.2 8.0 / 26.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MVSU
3-30-0 (9.1%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
UAB Advantage
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MVSU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
UAB
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.0
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UAB
MVSU
UAB
MVSU
ML
59% 19-13
91% 30-3
41% 13-19
75% 18-6
ATS
56% 18-14
82% 27-6
41% 13-19
75% 18-6
TTL
69% 22-10
58% 19-14
100% 32-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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