NEW ORLEANS
PRIVATEERSUNO
0-0 | Road
78
TCU
HORNED FROGSTCU
0-0 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
PRIVATEERS
100%
HORNED FROGS
0%
PRIVATEERS
--
HORNED FROGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
TCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (TCU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TCU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TCU)
UNO By 1-7 points
23.0%
UNO By 8-14 points
12.2%
TCU By 1-7 points
26.8%
TCU By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New Orleans
69
NEW ORLEANS
TCU
71
TCU
Simulated Score
New Orleans
65
NEW ORLEANS
TCU
82
TCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Horned Frogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Horned Frogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Horned Frogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Horned Frogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
UNO @ TCU
78 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+82.8% more
TCU: 4.3
vs
New Orleans: 2.3
Steals (L5)
+41.0% more
TCU: 9.7
vs
New Orleans: 6.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
TCU: 27.8%
vs
New Orleans: 23.4%
Assists (L5)
+17.8% more
New Orleans: 11.9
vs
TCU: 9.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNO Score
69.0
78
TCU Score
71.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.8 / 23.4
11.0 / 39.0
Assists
9.8 / 11.9
13.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.3 / 2.3
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
37.6 / 40.0
39.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
61.7 / 70.6
73.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
38.1 / 38.8
28.0 / 39.0
Steals
9.7 / 6.9
10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 12.4
10.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNO
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
TCU
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNO
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
TCU
19-16-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
TCU
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TCU
UNO
TCU
UNO
ML
74%
26-9
52%
16-15
63%
19-11
57%
17-13
ATS
74%
26-9
52%
16-15
63%
19-11
57%
17-13
TTL
66%
23-12
58%
18-13
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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