AI Model Win Probability
BLACK BEARS
100%
REVOLUTIONARIES
0%
BLACK BEARS
--
REVOLUTIONARIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (George Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GW -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GW)
ME By 1-7 points
12.2%
ME By 8-14 points
4.0%
GW By 1-7 points
24.3%
GW By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Maine
67
MAINE
George Washington
76
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Maine
68
MAINE
George Washington
75
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Revolutionaries
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Revolutionaries
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Revolutionaries (+20)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Revolutionaries (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
ME @ GW
47 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+80.0% more
George Washington: 15.2
vs
Maine: 8.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.5%
George Washington: 34.7%
vs
Maine: 25.2%
Rebounding (L5)
+8.4% more
George Washington: 30.6
vs
Maine: 28.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
George Washington: 44.6%
vs
Maine: 43.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ME Score
67.0
47
GW Score
76.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 25.2
10.0 / 23.0
Assists
12.2 / 11.8
12.0 / 8.0
Blocks
2.2 / 5.1
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 43.0
46.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
62.5 / 64.8
65.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
30.6 / 28.2
46.0 / 23.0
Steals
7.3 / 9.8
9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.2 / 8.4
16.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ME
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
GW
Advantage
19-16-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ME
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
GW
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -2.8
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GW
ME
GW
ME
ML
63%
22-13
45%
14-17
60%
21-14
52%
16-15
ATS
69%
24-11
55%
17-14
60%
21-14
52%
16-15
TTL
60%
21-14
55%
17-14
100%
35-0
100%
31-0