Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Demon Deacons AMER @ WAKE

AMERICAN UNIVERSITY

EAGLESAMER

0-1  |  Road

74
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 8:00 PM ET
LJVM Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WAKE FOREST

DEMON DEACONSWAKE

1-0  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
DEMON DEACONS
0%
EAGLES --
DEMON DEACONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
103.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
WAKE FOREST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Wake Forest)
EaglesAMER (-3.5) 0 Demon DeaconsWAKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

1.1%

Demon Deacons Cover

98.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WAKE -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAKE)

AMER By 1-7 points

0.8%

AMER By 8-14 points

0.1%

WAKE By 1-7 points

4.8%

WAKE By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
40
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
63
WAKE FOREST
Simulated Score
65
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
82
WAKE FOREST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Demon Deacons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Demon Deacons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Demon Deacons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Demon Deacons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 103.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 AMER @ WAKE 74 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +100.9% more
Wake Forest: 4.3 vs American University: 2.1
Rebounding (L5) +23.6% more
Wake Forest: 35.6 vs American University: 28.8
Free Throw % (L5) +7.3%
Wake Forest: 76.7% vs American University: 69.4%
Assists (L5) +30.5% more
American University: 13.8 vs Wake Forest: 9.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AMER Score 40.0 74
WAKE Score 63.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 23.5 / 38.9 28.0 / 27.0
Assists 9.6 / 13.8 20.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.3 / 2.1 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 38.7 / 47.6 48.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 76.7 / 69.4 79.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 35.6 / 28.8 38.0 / 33.0
Steals 7.0 / 6.8 16.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 11.1 11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AMER
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
WAKE Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AMER Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
WAKE
16-18-1 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
AMER
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAKE
AMER
WAKE
AMER
ML
49% 17-18
62% 20-12
61% 20-13
62% 20-12
ATS
66% 23-12
59% 19-13
61% 20-13
62% 20-12
TTL
60% 21-14
59% 19-13
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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