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UALBANY

GREAT DANESUALB

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53
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 8:00 PM ET
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MARQUETTE

GOLDEN EAGLESMARQ

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80
AI Model Win Probability
GREAT DANES
100%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
GREAT DANES --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
MARQUETTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Marquette)
Great DanesUALB (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesMARQ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Great Danes Cover

13.6%

Golden Eagles Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MARQ -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MARQ)

UALB By 1-7 points

9.3%

UALB By 8-14 points

2.7%

MARQ By 1-7 points

21.6%

MARQ By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
70
UALBANY
81
MARQUETTE
Simulated Score
60
UALBANY
85
MARQUETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles (+23.5) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o149.0 Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u149.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 UALB @ MARQ 53 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +51.3% more
UAlbany: 5.7 vs Marquette: 2.8
Assists (L5) +14.1% more
UAlbany: 13.4 vs Marquette: 11.5
Steals (L5) +11.0% more
UAlbany: 7.9 vs Marquette: 7.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.1%
UAlbany: 37.1% vs Marquette: 32.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UALB Score 70.0 53
MARQ Score 81.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.0 / 37.1 21.0 / 17.0
Assists 11.5 / 13.4 16.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.8 / 5.7 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 43.0 / 42.8 41.0 / 28.0
Free Throw % 65.6 / 67.0 69.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 33.7 / 35.7 45.0 / 43.0
Steals 7.1 / 7.9 18.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 10.7 14.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UALB
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
MARQ Advantage
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UALB
11-18-0 (37.9%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
MARQ Advantage
12-19-1 (38.7%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +0.3
MARQ
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MARQ
UALB
MARQ
UALB
ML
59% 19-13
55% 17-14
62% 20-12
71% 22-9
ATS
53% 17-15
77% 24-7
62% 20-12
72% 23-9
TTL
50% 16-16
61% 19-12
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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