LIPSCOMB
BISONSLIP
0-1 | Road
61
VANDERBILT
COMMODORESVAN
1-0 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
BISONS
100%
COMMODORES
0%
BISONS
--
COMMODORES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-72.0
VANDERBILT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +72.0 points (Vanderbilt)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VAN -72.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
LIP By 1-7 points
0.0%
LIP By 8-14 points
0.0%
VAN By 1-7 points
0.0%
VAN By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Lipscomb
35
LIPSCOMB
Vanderbilt
107
VANDERBILT
Simulated Score
Lipscomb
64
LIPSCOMB
Vanderbilt
76
VANDERBILT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Commodores
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Commodores
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Commodores (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -72.0
D
Sim
Commodores (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
LIP @ VAN
61 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+26.0% more
Vanderbilt: 6.9
vs
Lipscomb: 5.5
Turnovers (L5)
+24.8% more
Lipscomb: 12.0
vs
Vanderbilt: 9.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.4%
Lipscomb: 83.3%
vs
Vanderbilt: 68.9%
Assists (L5)
+12.0% more
Lipscomb: 13.4
vs
Vanderbilt: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIP Score
35.0
61
VAN Score
107.0
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.9 / 36.8
55.0 / 23.0
Assists
11.8 / 13.4
24.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.3 / 3.5
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
40.9 / 43.1
56.0 / 30.0
Free Throw %
68.9 / 83.3
71.0 / 95.0
Rebounding
32.2 / 31.0
37.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.9 / 5.5
13.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 12.0
6.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIP
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
VAN
Advantage
27-9-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIP
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
VAN
Advantage
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.9
VAN
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
LIP
VAN
LIP
ML
69%
25-11
71%
22-9
56%
18-14
66%
19-10
ATS
78%
28-8
71%
22-9
56%
18-14
66%
19-10
TTL
58%
21-15
58%
18-13
100%
32-0
100%
29-0
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