AI Model Win Probability
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
GOLDEN GOPHERS
0%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
--
GOLDEN GOPHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MINN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MINN)
GWEB By 1-7 points
21.6%
GWEB By 8-14 points
10.7%
MINN By 1-7 points
27.2%
MINN By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Gardner-Webb
69
GARDNER-WEBB
Minnesota
72
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Gardner-Webb
60
GARDNER-WEBB
Minnesota
75
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Gophers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Gophers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Gophers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Golden Gophers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
GWEB @ MINN
60 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+105.4% more
Minnesota: 4.6
vs
Gardner-Webb: 2.2
Assists (L5)
+83.8% more
Minnesota: 13.2
vs
Gardner-Webb: 7.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
Minnesota: 29.1%
vs
Gardner-Webb: 27.3%
Turnovers (L5)
+15.2% more
Gardner-Webb: 14.1
vs
Minnesota: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GWEB Score
69.0
60
MINN Score
72.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.1 / 27.3
33.0 / 32.0
Assists
13.2 / 7.2
25.0 / 8.0
Blocks
4.6 / 2.2
7.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
41.2 / 43.1
55.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
68.4 / 71.3
67.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 35.6
45.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.0 / 5.7
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 14.1
14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GWEB
4-29-0
(12.1%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
MINN
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GWEB
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
MINN
14-18-1
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: -1.0
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MINN
GWEB
MINN
GWEB
ML
48%
16-17
73%
22-8
71%
22-9
63%
19-11
ATS
55%
18-15
73%
22-8
71%
22-9
63%
19-11
TTL
52%
17-16
53%
16-14
100%
31-0
100%
30-0