Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Demons @ Aggies NWST @ TA&M

NORTHWESTERN STATE

DEMONSNWST

0-0  |  Road

68
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 8:00 PM ET
Reed Arena
View Odds Details →

TEXAS A&M

AGGIESTA&M

0-0  |  Home

98
AI Model Win Probability
DEMONS
100%
📊
AGGIES
0%
DEMONS --
AGGIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Texas A&M)
DemonsNWST (-3.5) 0 AggiesTA&M (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Demons Cover

46.0%

Aggies Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TA&M -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TA&M)

NWST By 1-7 points

24.3%

NWST By 8-14 points

13.7%

TA&M By 1-7 points

26.2%

TA&M By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
62
NORTHWESTERN STATE
63
TEXAS A&M
Simulated Score
58
NORTHWESTERN STATE
85
TEXAS A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Aggies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Aggies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Aggies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Aggies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 NWST @ TA&M 68 - 98
Dec 27, 2022 NWST @ TA&M 52 - 64
Dec 21, 2021 NWST @ TA&M 61 - 80
Nov 6, 2019 NWST @ TA&M 63 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +30.7% more
Texas A&M: 41.1 vs Northwestern State: 31.4
Blocks (L5) +27.6% more
Texas A&M: 3.5 vs Northwestern State: 2.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +15.0%
Northwestern State: 43.7% vs Texas A&M: 28.6%
Turnovers (L5) +14.4% more
Northwestern State: 12.5 vs Texas A&M: 10.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NWST Score 62.0 68
TA&M Score 63.0 98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.6 / 43.7 35.0 / 35.0
Assists 11.6 / 12.5 22.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.5 / 2.8 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 41.5 / 43.3 49.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 67.2 / 78.0 74.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 41.1 / 31.4 44.0 / 32.0
Steals 7.0 / 7.3 13.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 12.5 12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NWST
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.4
TA&M Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NWST
16-13-1 (55.2%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.4
TA&M Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NWST
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TA&M
NWST
TA&M
NWST
ML
67% 20-10
68% 21-10
54% 15-13
77% 23-7
ATS
67% 20-10
68% 21-10
54% 15-13
77% 23-7
TTL
70% 21-9
39% 12-19
100% 28-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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