Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Red Flash @ Sooners SFPA @ OU

SAINT FRANCIS

RED FLASHSFPA

0-0  |  Road

66
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 8:30 PM ET
Lloyd Noble Center
View Odds Details →

OKLAHOMA

SOONERSOU

0-0  |  Home

102
AI Model Win Probability
RED FLASH
100%
📊
SOONERS
0%
RED FLASH --
SOONERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Oklahoma)
Red FlashSFPA (-3.5) 0 SoonersOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Flash Cover

24.2%

Sooners Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)

SFPA By 1-7 points

15.3%

SFPA By 8-14 points

5.8%

OU By 1-7 points

26.2%

OU By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
67
SAINT FRANCIS
74
OKLAHOMA
Simulated Score
58
SAINT FRANCIS
82
OKLAHOMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Sooners Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sooners Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sooners (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Sooners (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 SFPA @ OU 66 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +15.9% more
Oklahoma: 6.5 vs Saint Francis: 5.6
Free Throw % (L5) +13.6%
Oklahoma: 80.1% vs Saint Francis: 66.5%
Blocks (L5) +50.8% more
Saint Francis: 3.2 vs Oklahoma: 1.6
Turnovers (L5) +17.9% more
Saint Francis: 12.8 vs Oklahoma: 10.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SFPA Score 67.0 66
OU Score 74.0 102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.2 / 34.6 37.0 / 29.0
Assists 10.7 / 12.2 23.0 / 10.0
Blocks 1.6 / 3.2 10.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 42.6 / 44.8 56.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 80.1 / 66.5 72.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 31.6 / 33.7 42.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.5 / 5.6 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 12.8 11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
85%MONEY15%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
6%MONEY94%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
29%MONEY71%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SFPA
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -9.5 ATS +/-: -1.7
OU Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SFPA
13-15-1 (46.4%)
Margin: -9.5 ATS +/-: -1.7
OU Advantage
17-19-1 (47.2%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SFPA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +5.8
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
SFPA
OU
SFPA
ML
78% 28-8
68% 21-10
59% 20-14
67% 20-10
ATS
72% 26-10
68% 21-10
59% 20-14
67% 20-10
TTL
75% 27-9
58% 18-13
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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