SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
BULLDOGSSCST
0-0 | Road
45
LOUISVILLE
CARDINALSLOU
0-0 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
CARDINALS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
LOUISVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Louisville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LOU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LOU)
SCST By 1-7 points
20.1%
SCST By 8-14 points
9.3%
LOU By 1-7 points
27.4%
LOU By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
South Carolina State
66
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Louisville
70
LOUISVILLE
Simulated Score
South Carolina State
58
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Louisville
85
LOUISVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cardinals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cardinals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cardinals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Cardinals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
SCST @ LOU
45 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+48.2% more
South Carolina State: 5.3
vs
Louisville: 2.8
Steals (L5)
+47.5% more
South Carolina State: 9.3
vs
Louisville: 4.9
Assists (L5)
+35.3% more
South Carolina State: 17.6
vs
Louisville: 11.4
Turnovers (L5)
+32.2% more
South Carolina State: 14.9
vs
Louisville: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SCST Score
66.0
45
LOU Score
70.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.9 / 43.2
38.0 / 11.0
Assists
11.4 / 17.6
23.0 / 5.0
Blocks
2.8 / 5.3
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.1 / 44.6
53.0 / 23.0
Free Throw %
74.6 / 76.4
79.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 33.3
47.0 / 33.0
Steals
4.9 / 9.3
12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 14.9
17.0 / 25.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCST
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -11.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
LOU
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 11.7
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCST
13-16-1
(44.8%)
Margin: -11.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
LOU
Advantage
17-18-0
(48.6%)
Margin: 11.7
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.6
LOU
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LOU
SCST
LOU
SCST
ML
63%
22-13
61%
19-12
71%
24-10
74%
20-7
ATS
71%
25-10
68%
21-10
71%
24-10
74%
20-7
TTL
63%
22-13
52%
16-15
100%
34-0
100%
27-0
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