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INCARNATE WORD

CARDINALSUIW

0-0  |  Road

64
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 9:00 PM ET
Moby Arena
View Odds Details →

COLORADO STATE

RAMSCSU

0-0  |  Home

98
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
0%
📊
RAMS
100%
CARDINALS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
COLORADO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CardinalsUIW (-3.5) 0 RamsCSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

42.1%

Rams Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CSU +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSU)

UIW By 1-7 points

26.8%

UIW By 8-14 points

18.6%

CSU By 1-7 points

23.0%

CSU By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
79
INCARNATE WORD
77
COLORADO STATE
Simulated Score
60
INCARNATE WORD
82
COLORADO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cardinals Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o148.5 Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 UIW @ CSU 64 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +46.3% more
Incarnate Word: 8.7 vs Colorado State: 4.7
Blocks (L5) +24.0% more
Incarnate Word: 2.9 vs Colorado State: 2.2
Assists (L5) +41.9% more
Colorado State: 14.7 vs Incarnate Word: 10.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.3%
Colorado State: 37.4% vs Incarnate Word: 30.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UIW Score 79.0 64
CSU Score 77.0 98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.4 / 30.1 52.0 / 23.0
Assists 14.7 / 10.3 22.0 / 8.0
Blocks 2.2 / 2.9 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.5 / 45.9 60.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 76.0 / 73.1 90.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 35.0 43.0 / 20.0
Steals 4.7 / 8.7 1.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 9.9 10.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.0
CSU Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 4.6 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIW
10-18-0 (35.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.0
CSU Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.6 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UIW
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.4
CSU
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSU
UIW
CSU
UIW
ML
56% 19-15
47% 14-16
65% 20-11
76% 22-7
ATS
62% 21-13
53% 16-14
65% 20-11
77% 23-7
TTL
56% 19-15
60% 18-12
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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