SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
SPARTANSUPST
0-0 | Road
75
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
LANCERSCBU
0-0 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
100%
LANCERS
0%
SPARTANS
--
LANCERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (California Baptist)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CBU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBU)
UPST By 1-7 points
13.7%
UPST By 8-14 points
4.8%
CBU By 1-7 points
25.3%
CBU By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
South Carolina Upstate
66
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
California Baptist
74
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Simulated Score
South Carolina Upstate
71
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
California Baptist
76
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lancers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lancers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lancers (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Lancers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
UPST @ CBU
75 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.0%
California Baptist: 77.1%
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 64.1%
Rebounding (L5)
+9.6% more
California Baptist: 34.8
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 31.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.4%
California Baptist: 35.2%
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 27.8%
Steals (L5)
+38.4% more
South Carolina Upstate: 10.4
vs
California Baptist: 6.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UPST Score
66.0
75
CBU Score
74.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.2 / 27.8
44.0 / 29.0
Assists
10.5 / 11.3
16.0 / 5.0
Blocks
2.4 / 3.0
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
39.3 / 41.6
53.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
77.1 / 64.1
57.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
34.8 / 31.7
38.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.4 / 10.4
3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 14.7
7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UPST
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
CBU
Advantage
25-9-0
(73.5%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UPST
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
CBU
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UPST
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -3.5
CBU
12-22-0
O: 35.3% / U: 64.7%
Total +/-: -4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBU
UPST
CBU
UPST
ML
50%
17-17
61%
19-12
76%
25-8
83%
25-5
ATS
53%
18-16
61%
19-12
76%
25-8
83%
25-5
TTL
47%
16-18
52%
16-15
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
Michigan State Lands Five-Star Point Guard Antonio Pemberton: Wh…
Brady Pretzlaff's Long Road Back to Spartan Stadium: A Promise F…
Virginia Set for Friday Night Blowout Against Norfolk State, Ana…
Former Michigan State Forward Jaxon Kohler Finds New Home at BYU
Dec 6, 2025; East Lansing, Michigan, USA; Duke Blue Devils cente…