Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Lions @ Huskies UAPB @ WASH

ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF

GOLDEN LIONSUAPB

0-0  |  Road

50
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 11:00 PM ET
Alaska Airlines Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

HUSKIESWASH

0-0  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN LIONS
100%
📊
HUSKIES
0%
GOLDEN LIONS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Washington)
Golden LionsUAPB (-3.5) 0 HuskiesWASH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Lions Cover

46.0%

Huskies Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WASH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)

UAPB By 1-7 points

24.3%

UAPB By 8-14 points

13.7%

WASH By 1-7 points

26.2%

WASH By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
68
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
69
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
61
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
88
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (+34.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 UAPB @ WASH 50 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +34.7% more
Washington: 2.7 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 2.0
Free Throw % (L5) +10.3%
Washington: 67.5% vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 57.2%
Steals (L5) +16.3% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 6.5 vs Washington: 5.4
Turnovers (L5) +14.2% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 13.1 vs Washington: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UAPB Score 68.0 50
WASH Score 69.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.1 / 37.1 40.0 / 26.0
Assists 14.0 / 15.4 21.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.7 / 2.0 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.8 / 47.3 49.0 / 25.0
Free Throw % 67.5 / 57.2 73.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 28.4 / 32.4 53.0 / 32.0
Steals 5.4 / 6.5 9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 13.1 14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAPB
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -3.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
WASH Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAPB
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -3.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
WASH Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UAPB
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -0.2
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
UAPB
WASH
UAPB
ML
45% 15-18
74% 23-8
66% 21-11
73% 19-7
ATS
48% 16-17
73% 22-8-1
66% 21-11
73% 19-7
TTL
70% 23-10
68% 21-10
100% 32-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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