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BYU

BYUBYU

8-0  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 12:00 PM ET
Jones AT&T Stadium
View Odds Details →

TEXAS TECH

TEXAS TECHTTU

8-1  |  Home

29
Key Game
Reggie Frischknecht
KEY GAME

Reggie Frischknecht

#18 | Wide Receiver
@
Oliver Miles III
KEY GAME

Oliver Miles III

#5 | Safety
Player
Reggie Frischknecht None-None
Oliver Miles III None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BYU
100%
📊
TEXAS TECH
0%
BYU --
TEXAS TECH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
44.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
TEXAS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Texas Tech)
BYUBYU (-3.5) 0 Texas TechTTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

BYU Cover

19.6%

Texas Tech Cover

80.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around TTU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TTU)

BYU By 1-6 points

9.3%

BYU By 7-13 points

5.9%

TTU By 1-6 points

14.2%

TTU By 7-13 points

19.5%

AI Model Projected Score
16
BYU
28
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
27
BYU
31
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Texas Tech Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Texas Tech Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Texas Tech (+13.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
C
Sim Texas Tech (+13.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u50.5 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Sim o50.5 Loss
Proj Total: 58.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 BYU @ TTU 7 - 34
Nov 8, 2025 BYU @ TTU 7 - 29
Oct 21, 2023 TTU @ BYU 14 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +93.0% more
Texas Tech: 1.6 vs BYU: 0.7
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +8.0% more
Texas Tech: 0.5 vs BYU: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BYU Score 16.0 7
TTU Score 28.0 29
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.4 / 21.0 17.0 / 14.0
Rushing Yards 172.6 / 175.2 149.0 / 67.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.39 / 0.21
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.49 / 0.51
Total Yards 425.8 / 412.9 368.0 / 255.0
Turnovers 1.6 / 0.7 0.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
55%MONEY45%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BYU
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 23.0 ATS +/-: +2.8
TTU
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 18.6 ATS +/-: -6.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BYU Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 23.0 ATS +/-: +2.8
TTU
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 18.6 ATS +/-: -6.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BYU
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.8
TTU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
BYU
TTU
BYU
ML
100% 5-0
100% 3-0
100% 5-0
75% 3-1
ATS
80% 4-1
67% 2-1
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
TTL
80% 4-1
0% 0-3
40% 2-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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