UAB
UABUAB
3-5 | Road
17
RICE
RICERICE
4-5 | Home
24
Key Game
KEY GAME
Jonah Delange
#39 | Place kicker@
KEY GAME
Enock Gota
#28 | Place kicker| Player | |
|---|---|
| Jonah Delange | None-None |
| Enock Gota | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
UAB
100%
RICE
0%
UAB
--
RICE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
RICE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Rice)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around RICE -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICE)
UAB By 1-6 points
16.1%
UAB By 7-13 points
14.6%
RICE By 1-6 points
16.7%
RICE By 7-13 points
16.1%
AI Model Projected Score
UAB
38
UAB
Rice
39
RICE
Simulated Score
UAB
24
UAB
Rice
27
RICE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rice
Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Rice
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rice (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
C
Sim
Rice (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 77.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 8, 2025
UAB @ RICE
17 - 24
Nov 23, 2024
RICE @ UAB
14 - 40
Oct 1, 2022
UAB @ RICE
24 - 28
Oct 23, 2021
RICE @ UAB
30 - 24
Dec 12, 2020
UAB @ RICE
21 - 16
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+38.5% more
Rice: 191.5
vs
UAB: 138.3
Turnovers (L5)
+47.0% more
UAB: 2.0
vs
Rice: 1.1
First Downs (L5)
+27.9% more
UAB: 22.0
vs
Rice: 15.9
Total Yards (L5)
+19.9% more
UAB: 395.4
vs
Rice: 316.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UAB Score
38.0
17
RICE Score
39.0
24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
15.9 / 22.0
18.0 / 18.0
Rushing Yards
191.5 / 138.3
191.0 / 102.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.3 / 0.5
0.29 / 0.36
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.58 / 0.42
Total Yards
316.9 / 395.4
232.0 / 315.0
Turnovers
1.1 / 2.0
1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAB
Advantage
3-2-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +0.4
RICE
1-4-0
(20.0%)
Margin: -9.4
ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAB
2-2-1
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +0.4
RICE
Advantage
3-2-0
(60.0%)
Margin: -9.4
ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UAB
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0%
Total +/-: -6.3
RICE
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICE
UAB
RICE
UAB
ML
100%
5-0
80%
4-1
80%
4-1
100%
5-0
ATS
40%
2-3
50%
2-2-1
40%
2-3
75%
3-1-1
TTL
80%
4-1
40%
2-3
80%
4-1
60%
3-2
Contextual Game News
Dylan Raiola Highlights UCLA's Autzen Stadium Experience as Key …
Bison-Wyoming Showdown Ignites Ticket Frenzy in Fargo
UAB Rallies Past Navy 24-20 Behind McReynolds' Late 48-Yard Touc…
Oklahoma State's Blowout Win Reshapes Depth Chart: Three Up, Thr…
Chris Simms Offloads Historic Greenwich Farmhouse After Multiple…