Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Texas A&M @ Missouri TA&M @ MIZ

TEXAS A&M

TEXAS A&MTA&M

8-0  |  Road

38
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 3:30 PM ET
Memorial Stadium
View Odds Details →

MISSOURI

MISSOURIMIZ

6-2  |  Home

17
Key Game
Tommy Colligan
KEY GAME

Tommy Colligan

#45 | Linebacker
@
Oliver Robbins
KEY GAME

Oliver Robbins

#48 | Place kicker
Player
Tommy Colligan None-None
Oliver Robbins None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TEXAS A&M
0%
📊
MISSOURI
100%
TEXAS A&M --
MISSOURI --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
33.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Texas A&M)
Texas A&MTA&M (-3.5) 0 MissouriMIZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Texas A&M Cover

69.1%

Missouri Cover

30.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around TA&M -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TA&M)

TA&M By 1-6 points

16.5%

TA&M By 7-13 points

19.3%

MIZ By 1-6 points

12.9%

MIZ By 7-13 points

9.6%

AI Model Projected Score
20
TEXAS A&M
13
MISSOURI
Simulated Score
24
TEXAS A&M
31
MISSOURI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Texas A&M Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Missouri Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Texas A&M (-7) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Sim Missouri (+7) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u48.5 Loss
Proj Total: 33.0
C
Sim o48.5 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 TA&M @ MIZ 38 - 17
Oct 5, 2024 MIZ @ TA&M 10 - 41
Oct 16, 2021 TA&M @ MIZ 35 - 14
Nov 15, 2014 MIZ @ TA&M 34 - 27
Nov 30, 2013 TA&M @ MIZ 21 - 28
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +14.6% more
Texas A&M: 213.8 vs Missouri: 182.6
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +12.0% more
Texas A&M: 0.5 vs Missouri: 0.4
Total Yards (L5) +10.9% more
Texas A&M: 449.9 vs Missouri: 400.8
Turnovers (L5) +18.7% more
Missouri: 1.3 vs Texas A&M: 1.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TA&M Score 20.0 38
MIZ Score 13.0 17
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.7 / 24.0 17.0 / 21.0
Rushing Yards 182.6 / 213.8 207.0 / 243.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.38 / 0.5
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.4 / 0.6
Total Yards 400.8 / 449.9 284.0 / 464.0
Turnovers 1.3 / 1.1 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TA&M
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 13.2 ATS +/-: -1.8
MIZ Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 17.6 ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TA&M Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 13.2 ATS +/-: -1.8
MIZ
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 17.6 ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
TA&M
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -0.9
MIZ
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIZ
TA&M
MIZ
TA&M
ML
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
ATS
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
20% 1-4
TTL
20% 1-4
20% 1-4
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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