WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
1-5 | Road
102
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
3-3 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
KNICKS
0%
WIZARDS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
WSH By 1-7 points
20.1%
WSH By 8-14 points
9.3%
NY By 1-7 points
27.4%
NY By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
109
WASHINGTON
New York
113
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Washington
105
WASHINGTON
New York
112
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u235.0
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
u235.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
WSH @ NY
113 - 145
Feb 3, 2026
NY @ WSH
132 - 101
Nov 3, 2025
WSH @ NY
102 - 119
Oct 13, 2025
WSH @ NY
120 - 103
Mar 22, 2025
WSH @ NY
103 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+31.3% more
New York: 14.7
vs
Washington: 11.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+19.9%
New York: 49.2%
vs
Washington: 29.3%
Rebounding (L5)
+8.4% more
New York: 25.1
vs
Washington: 23.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
New York: 39.0%
vs
Washington: 37.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
109.0
102
NY Score
113.0
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.0 / 37.2
37.0 / 37.0
Assists
14.7 / 11.2
32.0 / 30.0
Blocks
2.4 / 4.1
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 44.2
47.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
49.2 / 29.3
80.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
25.1 / 23.2
49.0 / 44.0
Steals
3.9 / 3.8
12.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
7.0 / 8.9
12.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
WSH
NY
WSH
ML
61%
114-72
70%
112-49
56%
57-45
47%
39-44
ATS
67%
124-62
69%
111-49-1
56%
57-45
47%
39-44
TTL
72%
133-53
74%
119-41-1
100%
102-0
100%
83-0
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