AI Model Win Probability
TRAILBLAZERS
0%
COYOTES
100%
TRAILBLAZERS
--
COYOTES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
UTAH TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Utah Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTU)
UTU By 1-7 points
24.3%
UTU By 8-14 points
26.8%
SDAK By 1-7 points
12.2%
SDAK By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah Tech
87
UTAH TECH
South Dakota
78
SOUTH DAKOTA
Simulated Score
Utah Tech
68
UTAH TECH
South Dakota
72
SOUTH DAKOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Trailblazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Coyotes
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Trailblazers (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Coyotes (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o164.5
Loss
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
UTU @ SDAK
81 - 79
Dec 19, 2024
SDAK @ UTU
87 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+32.4% more
Utah Tech: 11.4
vs
South Dakota: 7.7
Turnovers (L5)
+28.5% more
Utah Tech: 12.2
vs
South Dakota: 8.8
Blocks (L5)
+28.4% more
Utah Tech: 3.3
vs
South Dakota: 2.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Utah Tech: 33.9%
vs
South Dakota: 30.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTU Score
87.0
81
SDAK Score
78.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.9 / 33.9
12.0 / 26.0
Assists
7.7 / 11.4
7.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.4 / 3.3
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
40.2 / 39.1
38.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
73.2 / 74.5
77.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 31.2
45.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.0 / 6.4
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
8.8 / 12.2
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTU
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
SDAK
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTU
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
SDAK
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.1
SDAK
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SDAK
UTU
SDAK
UTU
ML
70%
21-9
68%
23-11
63%
19-11
62%
21-13
ATS
70%
21-9
65%
22-12
63%
19-11
62%
21-13
TTL
67%
20-10
65%
22-12
100%
30-0
100%
34-0