AI Model Win Probability
PEACOCKS
100%
PIRATES
0%
PEACOCKS
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SETON HALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Seton Hall)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HALL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HALL)
SPU By 1-7 points
24.3%
SPU By 8-14 points
13.7%
HALL By 1-7 points
26.2%
HALL By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Peter's
66
SAINT PETER'S
Seton Hall
67
SETON HALL
Simulated Score
Saint Peter's
61
SAINT PETER'S
Seton Hall
72
SETON HALL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pirates
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pirates
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pirates (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Pirates (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o129.5
Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u129.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
SPU @ HALL
50 - 77
Nov 4, 2024
SPU @ HALL
53 - 57
Nov 6, 2023
SPU @ HALL
59 - 70
Nov 12, 2022
SPU @ HALL
44 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+43.5% more
Seton Hall: 8.3
vs
Saint Peter's: 5.8
Assists (L5)
+25.1% more
Seton Hall: 12.0
vs
Saint Peter's: 9.6
Turnovers (L5)
+13.8% more
Seton Hall: 12.5
vs
Saint Peter's: 11.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.5%
Seton Hall: 40.1%
vs
Saint Peter's: 36.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SPU Score
66.0
50
HALL Score
67.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.2 / 30.1
33.0 / 26.0
Assists
12.0 / 9.6
15.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.5 / 4.2
9.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
40.1 / 36.7
47.0 / 27.0
Free Throw %
57.1 / 80.0
83.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
26.0 / 38.1
35.0 / 32.0
Steals
8.3 / 5.8
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 11.0
8.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SPU
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 2.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
HALL
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SPU
Advantage
16-11-1
(59.3%)
Margin: 2.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
HALL
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3%
Total +/-: -0.2
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HALL
SPU
HALL
SPU
ML
41%
13-19
64%
18-10
60%
18-12
71%
20-8
ATS
50%
16-16
71%
20-8
60%
18-12
71%
20-8
TTL
53%
17-15
61%
17-11
100%
30-0
100%
28-0