NORTH DAKOTA STATE
BISONNDSU
0-0 | Road
65
OREGON STATE
BEAVERSORST
0-0 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
0%
BEAVERS
100%
BISON
--
BEAVERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
OREGON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORST +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORST)
NDSU By 1-7 points
26.8%
NDSU By 8-14 points
18.6%
ORST By 1-7 points
23.0%
ORST By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
North Dakota State
79
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Oregon State
77
OREGON STATE
Simulated Score
North Dakota State
68
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Oregon State
72
OREGON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bison
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Beavers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Beavers (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Beavers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
NDSU @ ORST
65 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+21.5% more
North Dakota State: 6.0
vs
Oregon State: 4.7
Assists (L5)
+12.8% more
North Dakota State: 14.2
vs
Oregon State: 12.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.7%
North Dakota State: 37.5%
vs
Oregon State: 28.8%
Turnovers (L5)
+8.1% more
North Dakota State: 11.0
vs
Oregon State: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NDSU Score
79.0
65
ORST Score
77.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.8 / 37.5
36.0 / 19.0
Assists
12.4 / 14.2
13.0 / 17.0
Blocks
1.9 / 1.8
0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 46.8
44.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
76.6 / 79.6
73.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
34.6 / 35.2
33.0 / 36.0
Steals
4.7 / 6.0
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 11.0
12.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NDSU
Advantage
27-8-0
(77.1%)
Margin: 10.1
ATS +/-: +4.5
ORST
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NDSU
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 10.1
ATS +/-: +4.5
ORST
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NDSU
18-13-2
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.9
ORST
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORST
NDSU
ORST
NDSU
ML
45%
15-18
49%
17-18
59%
19-13
59%
20-14
ATS
48%
16-17
54%
19-16
59%
19-13
59%
20-14
TTL
55%
18-15
43%
15-20
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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