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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

6-4-3  |  Road

2
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 8:30 PM ET
Enterprise Center
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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

3-7-2  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Mathieu Joseph
GOALTENDER

Mathieu Joseph

#21 | Right Wing
@
Jordan Binnington
GOALTENDER

Jordan Binnington

#50 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Mathieu Joseph None-None -- -- --
Jordan Binnington None-None 2.00 0.923 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 2.00
-- Save % 0.923
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
📊
BLUES
100%
OILERS --
BLUES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 BluesSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

30.9%

Blues Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around STL +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

EDM By 1 goal

19.7%

EDM By 2-3 goals

29.6%

STL By 1 goal

12.1%

STL By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
EDMONTON
2
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
4
EDMONTON
3
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blues (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Oilers (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 EDM @ STL 2 - 3
Jan 18, 2026 STL @ EDM 0 - 5
Nov 3, 2025 EDM @ STL 2 - 3
Apr 9, 2025 STL @ EDM 3 - 4
Feb 4, 2025 EDM @ STL 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +23.5% more
Edmonton: 5.1 vs St. Louis: 3.9
Power Play % (L5) +21.5%
Edmonton: 42.1% vs St. Louis: 20.6%
Blocked Shots (L5) +9.7% more
Edmonton: 14.0 vs St. Louis: 12.6
Hits (L5) +23.0% more
St. Louis: 21.8 vs Edmonton: 17.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 3.0 2
STL Score 2.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 12.6 / 14.0 21.0 / 12.0
Faceoff % 50.7 / 52.0 41.2 / 58.8
Hits 21.8 / 17.7 13.0 / 17.0
Power Play % 20.6 / 42.1 50.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal 32.6 / 30.2 22.0 / 26.0
Takeaways 3.9 / 5.1 8.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
65%MONEY35%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
79%MONEY21%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
EDM
STL
EDM
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
ATS
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 1-1-1
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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