Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Warhawks @ Huskies ULM @ NIU

UL MONROE

WARHAWKSULM

0-0  |  Road

82
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 8:00 PM ET
NIU Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

NORTHERN ILLINOIS

HUSKIESNIU

0-0  |  Home

102
AI Model Win Probability
WARHAWKS
100%
📊
HUSKIES
0%
WARHAWKS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Northern Illinois)
WarhawksULM (-3.5) 0 HuskiesNIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Warhawks Cover

24.2%

Huskies Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NIU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NIU)

ULM By 1-7 points

15.3%

ULM By 8-14 points

5.8%

NIU By 1-7 points

26.2%

NIU By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
73
UL MONROE
80
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
68
UL MONROE
72
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 ULM @ NIU 82 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +43.6% more
Northern Illinois: 6.0 vs UL Monroe: 4.2
Turnovers (L5) +35.6% more
Northern Illinois: 14.0 vs UL Monroe: 10.3
Blocks (L5) +33.8% more
Northern Illinois: 3.0 vs UL Monroe: 2.2
Free Throw % (L5) +10.5%
UL Monroe: 78.0% vs Northern Illinois: 67.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ULM Score 73.0 82
NIU Score 80.0 102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.1 / 39.8 41.0 / 40.0
Assists 12.8 / 12.1 23.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.0 / 2.2 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 39.4 / 42.2 55.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 67.5 / 78.0 73.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 33.1 / 33.4 44.0 / 18.0
Steals 6.0 / 4.2 3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.0 / 10.3 18.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ULM
4-28-0 (12.5%)
Margin: -11.5 ATS +/-: -0.9
NIU Advantage
9-21-0 (30.0%)
Margin: -8.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ULM Advantage
18-12-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -11.5 ATS +/-: -0.9
NIU
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: -8.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ULM
20-9-1
O: 69.0% / U: 31.0% Total +/-: +5.8
NIU
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NIU
ULM
NIU
ULM
ML
67% 20-10
50% 16-16
66% 19-10
70% 21-9
ATS
63% 19-11
78% 25-7
66% 19-10
70% 21-9
TTL
67% 20-10
59% 19-13
100% 29-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
UConn Men's Basketball 2026-27 TV Schedule Revealed: Up to Seven…
courant 1 day, 5 hours ago
Dan Hurley's UConn Overhaul: How 10 New Faces Fit National Title…
courant 1 week, 5 days ago
UConn Men's Basketball Faces Nation's Toughest Nonconference Sch…
yahoo 2 weeks, 6 days ago
Behind the Silence: Inside Paige Bueckers and Geno Auriemma's Te…
cbssports 1 month, 2 weeks ago
UConn Adds Shaw with Deep Basketball Roots and Veteran Presence …
courant 1 month, 3 weeks ago