Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Green Wave SAM @ TULN

SAMFORD

BULLDOGSSAM

0-0  |  Road

72
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 8:30 PM ET
Devlin Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

TULANE

GREEN WAVETULN

0-0  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
GREEN WAVE
0%
BULLDOGS --
GREEN WAVE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
TULANE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Tulane)
BulldogsSAM (-3.5) 0 Green WaveTULN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

15.9%

Green Wave Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TULN -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TULN)

SAM By 1-7 points

10.7%

SAM By 8-14 points

3.3%

TULN By 1-7 points

23.0%

TULN By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
78
SAMFORD
88
TULANE
Simulated Score
71
SAMFORD
74
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Green Wave Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Green Wave Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Green Wave (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Green Wave (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 SAM @ TULN 72 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +118.4% more
Tulane: 3.1 vs Samford: 1.4
Turnovers (L5) +17.2% more
Samford: 13.4 vs Tulane: 11.1
Steals (L5) +9.8% more
Samford: 9.3 vs Tulane: 8.4
Free Throw % (L5) +4.3%
Samford: 74.6% vs Tulane: 70.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SAM Score 78.0 72
TULN Score 88.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.4 / 34.2 52.0 / 39.0
Assists 14.2 / 14.2 14.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.1 / 1.4 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.5 / 44.3 58.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 70.4 / 74.6 92.0 / 59.0
Rebounding 31.0 / 32.8 28.0 / 36.0
Steals 8.4 / 9.3 10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 13.4 8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
20%MONEY80%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAM Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
TULN
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAM Advantage
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
TULN
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
SAM
18-11-1
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9% Total +/-: +2.6
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
SAM
TULN
SAM
ML
70% 23-10
65% 20-11
47% 15-17
68% 21-10
ATS
62% 20-12-1
68% 21-10
47% 15-17
68% 21-10
TTL
55% 18-15
35% 11-20
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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