Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Spartans @ Utes SJSU @ UTAH

SAN JOSÉ STATE

SPARTANSSJSU

0-0  |  Road

75
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 9:00 PM ET
Jon M. Huntsman Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

UTESUTAH

0-0  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
100%
📊
UTES
0%
SPARTANS --
UTES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Utah)
SpartansSJSU (-3.5) 0 UtesUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spartans Cover

46.0%

Utes Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

SJSU By 1-7 points

24.3%

SJSU By 8-14 points

13.7%

UTAH By 1-7 points

26.2%

UTAH By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
71
SAN JOSÉ STATE
72
UTAH
Simulated Score
62
SAN JOSÉ STATE
78
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Utes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Utes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Utes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Utes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 SJSU @ UTAH 75 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +36.1% more
Utah: 14.5 vs San José State: 10.7
Rebounding (L5) +20.3% more
Utah: 40.8 vs San José State: 33.9
Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Utah: 42.2% vs San José State: 40.1%
Blocks (L5) +17.0% more
San José State: 2.7 vs Utah: 2.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SJSU Score 71.0 75
UTAH Score 72.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.0 / 35.7 40.0 / 30.0
Assists 14.5 / 10.7 18.0 / 8.0
Blocks 2.2 / 2.7 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 42.2 / 40.1 50.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 66.7 / 80.3 63.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 40.8 / 33.9 40.0 / 36.0
Steals 6.8 / 7.7 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 13.0 11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
32%MONEY68%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SJSU
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -6.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
UTAH Advantage
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SJSU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -6.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
UTAH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SJSU
21-11-0
O: 65.6% / U: 34.4% Total +/-: +5.3
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
SJSU
UTAH
SJSU
ML
56% 18-14
73% 24-9
67% 20-10
62% 20-12
ATS
56% 18-14
73% 24-9
67% 20-10
62% 20-12
TTL
41% 13-19
61% 20-13
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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