Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Monarchs @ RedHawks ODU @ M-OH

OLD DOMINION

MONARCHSODU

0-0  |  Road

72
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Millett Hall
View Odds Details →

MIAMI (OH)

REDHAWKSM-OH

0-0  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
MONARCHS
0%
📊
REDHAWKS
100%
MONARCHS --
REDHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
109.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
OLD DOMINION
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Old Dominion)
MonarchsODU (-3.5) 0 RedHawksM-OH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Monarchs Cover

69.1%

RedHawks Cover

30.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ODU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ODU)

ODU By 1-7 points

27.2%

ODU By 8-14 points

23.0%

M-OH By 1-7 points

18.6%

M-OH By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
57
OLD DOMINION
52
MIAMI (OH)
Simulated Score
68
OLD DOMINION
72
MIAMI (OH)
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Monarchs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim RedHawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Monarchs (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim RedHawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 109.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 ODU @ M-OH 72 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +35.9% more
Old Dominion: 5.1 vs Miami (OH): 3.3
Rebounding (L5) +12.8% more
Old Dominion: 40.4 vs Miami (OH): 35.3
Free Throw % (L5) +10.7%
Old Dominion: 78.2% vs Miami (OH): 67.5%
Assists (L5) +57.1% more
Miami (OH): 15.4 vs Old Dominion: 9.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ODU Score 57.0 72
M-OH Score 52.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.1 / 28.6 29.0 / 43.0
Assists 15.4 / 9.8 11.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.3 / 5.1 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 36.1 50.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 67.5 / 78.2 81.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 35.3 / 40.4 33.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.8 / 5.0 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 10.7 12.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
M-OH Advantage
32-2-0 (94.1%)
Margin: 14.1 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
M-OH Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 14.1 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
21-10-1
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3% Total +/-: +3.0
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
M-OH
ODU
M-OH
ODU
ML
45% 15-18
52% 17-16
41% 13-19
67% 22-11
ATS
61% 20-13
70% 23-10
41% 13-19
67% 22-11
TTL
61% 20-13
70% 23-10
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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