Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Catamounts @ Bearcats WCU @ CIN

WESTERN CAROLINA

CATAMOUNTSWCU

0-0  |  Road

63
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Fifth Third Arena
View Odds Details →

CINCINNATI

BEARCATSCIN

0-0  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
100%
📊
BEARCATS
0%
CATAMOUNTS --
BEARCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
CINCINNATI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Cincinnati)
CatamountsWCU (-3.5) 0 BearcatsCIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Catamounts Cover

27.4%

Bearcats Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CIN -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIN)

WCU By 1-7 points

16.9%

WCU By 8-14 points

6.8%

CIN By 1-7 points

26.8%

CIN By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
82
WESTERN CAROLINA
88
CINCINNATI
Simulated Score
62
WESTERN CAROLINA
78
CINCINNATI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bearcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bearcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bearcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Bearcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 WCU @ CIN 63 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +165.4% more
Cincinnati: 10.3 vs Western Carolina: 3.9
Assists (L5) +12.3% more
Cincinnati: 15.1 vs Western Carolina: 13.4
Turnovers (L5) +10.4% more
Cincinnati: 11.7 vs Western Carolina: 10.6
Field Goal % (L5) +2.2%
Cincinnati: 43.2% vs Western Carolina: 41.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WCU Score 82.0 63
CIN Score 88.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 32.4 36.0 / 33.0
Assists 15.1 / 13.4 20.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.1 / 4.1 7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.2 / 41.0 54.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 65.3 / 68.2 67.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 36.7 / 36.8 36.0 / 37.0
Steals 10.3 / 3.9 11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 10.6 15.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
40%MONEY60%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WCU
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: +1.8
CIN Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WCU Advantage
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: +1.8
CIN
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WCU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +2.5
CIN
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
WCU
CIN
WCU
ML
67% 22-11
63% 19-11
74% 23-8
76% 22-7
ATS
64% 21-12
73% 22-8
74% 23-8
77% 23-7
TTL
67% 22-11
67% 20-10
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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