JAMES MADISON
DUKESJMU
0-0 | Road
71
AKRON
ZIPSAKR
0-0 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
DUKES
100%
ZIPS
0%
DUKES
--
ZIPS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
AKRON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Akron)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AKR -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AKR)
JMU By 1-7 points
10.7%
JMU By 8-14 points
3.3%
AKR By 1-7 points
23.0%
AKR By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
James Madison
78
JAMES MADISON
Akron
88
AKRON
Simulated Score
James Madison
71
JAMES MADISON
Akron
75
AKRON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Zips
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Zips
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Zips (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Zips (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
JMU @ AKR
71 - 85
Feb 10, 2024
AKR @ JMU
59 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+36.0% more
Akron: 3.9
vs
James Madison: 2.9
Assists (L5)
+29.4% more
Akron: 12.6
vs
James Madison: 9.7
Steals (L5)
+13.8% more
Akron: 7.0
vs
James Madison: 6.1
Turnovers (L5)
+9.2% more
Akron: 8.3
vs
James Madison: 7.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JMU Score
78.0
71
AKR Score
88.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.3 / 30.7
32.0 / 38.0
Assists
12.6 / 9.7
15.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.9 / 2.9
6.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
44.1 / 39.2
43.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
78.6 / 76.7
79.0 / 92.0
Rebounding
30.2 / 34.5
41.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.0 / 6.1
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
8.3 / 7.6
8.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JMU
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
AKR
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JMU
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
AKR
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
JMU
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: +3.4
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AKR
JMU
AKR
JMU
ML
71%
24-10
64%
21-12
65%
22-12
66%
21-11
ATS
76%
26-8
67%
22-11
65%
22-12
66%
21-11
TTL
59%
20-14
67%
22-11
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
