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TROY

TROJANSTROY

0-0  |  Road

103
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:00 PM ET
M.A.C. Center
View Odds Details →

KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

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97
AI Model Win Probability
TROJANS
0%
📊
GOLDEN FLASHES
100%
TROJANS --
GOLDEN FLASHES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
TROY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Troy)
TrojansTROY (-3.5) 0 Golden FlashesKENT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trojans Cover

72.6%

Golden Flashes Cover

27.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TROY -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TROY)

TROY By 1-7 points

26.8%

TROY By 8-14 points

24.3%

KENT By 1-7 points

16.9%

KENT By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
73
TROY
67
KENT STATE
Simulated Score
68
TROY
72
KENT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Trojans Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Flashes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Trojans (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Golden Flashes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u142.5 Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 TROY @ KENT 103 - 97
Feb 10, 2024 KENT @ TROY 68 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +54.0% more
Troy: 3.9 vs Kent State: 1.8
Steals (L5) +25.8% more
Troy: 8.6 vs Kent State: 6.4
Assists (L5) +23.8% more
Troy: 12.3 vs Kent State: 9.4
Free Throw % (L5) +2.2%
Troy: 70.9% vs Kent State: 68.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TROY Score 73.0 103
KENT Score 67.0 97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.7 / 27.7 39.0 / 46.0
Assists 9.4 / 12.3 17.0 / 20.0
Blocks 1.8 / 3.9 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.7 / 41.2 38.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 68.7 / 70.9 76.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 38.8 / 39.4 45.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.4 / 8.6 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 10.4 14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
92%MONEY8%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TROY
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: -1.0
KENT Advantage
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TROY Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: -1.0
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
TROY
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +2.8
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENT
TROY
KENT
TROY
ML
53% 18-16
59% 20-14
65% 22-12
61% 20-13
ATS
65% 22-12
65% 22-12
65% 22-12
61% 20-13
TTL
44% 15-19
56% 19-15
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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