AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
0%
PATRIOTS
100%
TERRIERS
--
PATRIOTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+9.0
GEORGE MASON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GMU +9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GMU)
WOF By 1-7 points
24.3%
WOF By 8-14 points
26.8%
GMU By 1-7 points
12.2%
GMU By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Wofford
78
WOFFORD
George Mason
69
GEORGE MASON
Simulated Score
Wofford
72
WOFFORD
George Mason
75
GEORGE MASON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Terriers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Patriots
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Patriots (+14.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +9.0
D
Sim
Patriots (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
WOF @ GMU
46 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+9.0% more
Wofford: 33.5
vs
George Mason: 30.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
Wofford: 41.1%
vs
George Mason: 38.9%
Steals (L5)
+84.6% more
George Mason: 9.6
vs
Wofford: 5.2
Blocks (L5)
+36.1% more
George Mason: 2.5
vs
Wofford: 1.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WOF Score
78.0
46
GMU Score
69.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.9 / 41.1
35.0 / 21.0
Assists
13.1 / 13.4
12.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.5 / 1.8
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 46.4
47.0 / 30.0
Free Throw %
75.8 / 65.6
75.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
30.4 / 33.5
37.0 / 32.0
Steals
9.6 / 5.2
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 9.4
12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WOF
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
GMU
Advantage
23-10-0
(69.7%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WOF
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
GMU
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
GMU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GMU
WOF
GMU
WOF
ML
55%
18-15
39%
12-19
73%
24-9
61%
19-12
ATS
55%
18-15
58%
18-13
73%
24-9
61%
19-12
TTL
58%
19-14
65%
20-11
100%
33-0
100%
31-0