AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
0%
PANTHERS
100%
PIRATES
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MILW +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MILW)
HAMP By 1-7 points
27.4%
HAMP By 8-14 points
21.6%
MILW By 1-7 points
20.1%
MILW By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Hampton
70
HAMPTON
Milwaukee
66
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Hampton
68
HAMPTON
Milwaukee
75
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pirates
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
HAMP @ MILW
86 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+11.9% more
Hampton: 3.0
vs
Milwaukee: 2.6
Rebounding (L5)
+10.4% more
Hampton: 33.8
vs
Milwaukee: 30.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.3%
Hampton: 62.0%
vs
Milwaukee: 55.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
Hampton: 30.4%
vs
Milwaukee: 28.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HAMP Score
70.0
86
MILW Score
66.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.7 / 30.4
31.0 / 38.0
Assists
17.6 / 9.0
20.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.6 / 3.0
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 42.0
41.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
55.7 / 62.0
55.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
30.3 / 33.8
48.0 / 46.0
Steals
9.0 / 6.7
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 8.6
9.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAMP
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
MILW
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAMP
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
MILW
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.1
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MILW
HAMP
MILW
HAMP
ML
50%
16-16
53%
17-15
69%
22-10
75%
24-8
ATS
47%
15-17
50%
16-16
69%
22-10
75%
24-8
TTL
59%
19-13
68%
21-10-1
100%
32-0
100%
32-0