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GEORGIA STATE

PANTHERSGAST

0-0  |  Road

49
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 6:30 PM ET
Gervin GameAbove Center
View Odds Details →

EASTERN MICHIGAN

EAGLESEMU

0-0  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
PANTHERS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Eastern Michigan)
PanthersGAST (-3.5) 0 EaglesEMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

5.5%

Eagles Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EMU -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EMU)

GAST By 1-7 points

4.0%

GAST By 8-14 points

0.8%

EMU By 1-7 points

13.7%

EMU By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
64
GEORGIA STATE
80
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
68
GEORGIA STATE
72
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 GAST @ EMU 49 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +95.9% more
Eastern Michigan: 7.7 vs Georgia State: 3.9
Turnovers (L5) +14.9% more
Eastern Michigan: 12.2 vs Georgia State: 10.6
Free Throw % (L5) +9.2%
Eastern Michigan: 77.5% vs Georgia State: 68.3%
Blocks (L5) +19.2% more
Georgia State: 4.3 vs Eastern Michigan: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GAST Score 64.0 49
EMU Score 80.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.5 / 38.0 27.0 / 30.0
Assists 9.6 / 9.5 12.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.4 / 4.3 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 46.1 / 48.1 42.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 77.5 / 68.3 55.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 37.7 53.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.7 / 3.9 10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 10.6 13.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
47%MONEY53%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GAST
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.5
EMU Advantage
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GAST
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.5
EMU Advantage
20-10-0 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
GAST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -2.4
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EMU
GAST
EMU
GAST
ML
65% 20-11
56% 18-14
70% 21-9
71% 22-9
ATS
65% 20-11
59% 19-13
70% 21-9
71% 22-9
TTL
71% 22-9
59% 19-13
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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