Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Thundering Herd @ Minutemen MRSH @ MASS

MARSHALL

THUNDERING HERDMRSH

0-0  |  Road

78
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Mullins Center
View Odds Details →

MASSACHUSETTS

MINUTEMENMASS

0-0  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDERING HERD
0%
📊
MINUTEMEN
100%
THUNDERING HERD --
MINUTEMEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
MARSHALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Marshall)
Thundering HerdMRSH (-3.5) 0 MinutemenMASS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Thundering Herd Cover

99.9%

Minutemen Cover

0.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MRSH -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MRSH)

MRSH By 1-7 points

1.1%

MRSH By 8-14 points

4.8%

MASS By 1-7 points

0.1%

MASS By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
86
MARSHALL
56
MASSACHUSETTS
Simulated Score
72
MARSHALL
78
MASSACHUSETTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Thundering Herd Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Minutemen Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Thundering Herd (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim Minutemen (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 MRSH @ MASS 78 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +63.0% more
Marshall: 7.9 vs Massachusetts: 2.9
Assists (L5) +26.8% more
Marshall: 15.7 vs Massachusetts: 11.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.3%
Marshall: 36.2% vs Massachusetts: 24.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
Marshall: 42.0% vs Massachusetts: 36.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MRSH Score 86.0 78
MASS Score 56.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.9 / 36.2 28.0 / 33.0
Assists 11.5 / 15.7 18.0 / 22.0
Blocks 2.9 / 7.9 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 36.5 / 42.0 42.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 68.2 / 70.7 58.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 38.8 / 42.0 28.0 / 40.0
Steals 7.7 / 4.8 13.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 9.8 / 9.3 20.0 / 26.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MRSH Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -1.8
MASS
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MRSH
10-20-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -1.8
MASS Advantage
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MRSH
19-11-1
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +4.1
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5% Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MASS
MRSH
MASS
MRSH
ML
44% 14-18
70% 21-9
68% 21-10
62% 18-11
ATS
47% 15-17
70% 21-9
68% 21-10
62% 18-11
TTL
56% 18-14
50% 15-15
100% 31-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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