Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Griffins @ Flyers CAN @ DAY

CANISIUS

GOLDEN GRIFFINSCAN

0-0  |  Road

48
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:00 PM ET
UD Arena
View Odds Details →

DAYTON

FLYERSDAY

0-0  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
100%
📊
FLYERS
0%
GOLDEN GRIFFINS --
FLYERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
DAYTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Dayton)
Golden GriffinsCAN (-3.5) 0 FlyersDAY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Griffins Cover

24.2%

Flyers Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DAY -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAY)

CAN By 1-7 points

15.3%

CAN By 8-14 points

5.8%

DAY By 1-7 points

26.2%

DAY By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
65
CANISIUS
72
DAYTON
Simulated Score
65
CANISIUS
78
DAYTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Flyers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flyers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flyers (+25.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Flyers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 CAN @ DAY 48 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +46.6% more
Dayton: 15.0 vs Canisius: 10.3
Blocks (L5) +34.2% more
Dayton: 3.8 vs Canisius: 2.8
Rebounding (L5) +16.7% more
Dayton: 32.8 vs Canisius: 28.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.7%
Dayton: 39.3% vs Canisius: 33.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAN Score 65.0 48
DAY Score 72.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.3 / 33.6 25.0 / 37.0
Assists 15.0 / 10.3 16.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.8 / 2.8 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.6 / 40.3 53.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 71.7 / 83.1 68.0 / 45.0
Rebounding 32.8 / 28.1 33.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.8 / 7.0 12.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 12.8 4.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
8%MONEY92%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
23%MONEY77%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAN
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
DAY Advantage
25-12-0 (67.6%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAN
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
DAY Advantage
18-19-0 (48.7%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CAN
8-21-0
O: 27.6% / U: 72.4% Total +/-: -3.6
DAY
13-24-0
O: 35.1% / U: 64.9% Total +/-: -2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAY
CAN
DAY
CAN
ML
65% 24-13
55% 17-14
64% 23-13
68% 21-10
ATS
68% 25-12
65% 20-11
64% 23-13
68% 21-10
TTL
57% 21-16
58% 18-13
100% 36-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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