Home / NBA Projections NBA / Jazz @ Hornets UTAH @ CHA

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

2-3  |  Road

103
FINAL
Sun, Nov 2 • 6:00 PM ET
Spectrum Center
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

2-4  |  Home

126
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
JAZZ --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
207.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Utah)
JazzUTAH (-3.5) 0 HornetsCHA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jazz Cover

95.5%

Hornets Cover

4.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

UTAH By 1-7 points

12.2%

UTAH By 8-14 points

23.0%

CHA By 1-7 points

3.3%

CHA By 8-14 points

0.6%

AI Model Projected Score
112
UTAH
95
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
112
UTAH
118
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jazz Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hornets Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jazz (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Hornets (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u232.0 Win
Proj Total: 207.0
D
Sim u232.0 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 10, 2026 CHA @ UTAH 150 - 95
Nov 2, 2025 UTAH @ CHA 103 - 126
Mar 31, 2025 UTAH @ CHA 106 - 110
Jan 15, 2025 CHA @ UTAH 117 - 112
Feb 22, 2024 CHA @ UTAH 115 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +10.5% more
Utah: 2.5 vs Charlotte: 2.2
Field Goal % (L5) +4.7%
Utah: 52.9% vs Charlotte: 48.2%
Blocks (L5) +86.0% more
Charlotte: 1.8 vs Utah: 1.0
Rebounding (L5) +58.9% more
Charlotte: 21.8 vs Utah: 13.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 112.0 103
CHA Score 95.0 126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.2 / 37.5 42.0 / 22.0
Assists 11.5 / 8.6 31.0 / 27.0
Blocks 1.8 / 1.0 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.2 / 52.9 49.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 39.1 / 24.5 100.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 21.8 / 13.7 46.0 / 38.0
Steals 2.2 / 2.5 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 7.0 / 4.8 15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
UTAH
CHA
UTAH
ML
61% 60-39
60% 96-63
48% 40-44
48% 40-43
ATS
60% 59-40
68% 108-51
48% 40-44
48% 40-43
TTL
58% 57-42
75% 119-39-1
100% 84-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
nypost 1 hour, 13 minutes ago
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
tmz 1 hour, 29 minutes ago
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 1 hour, 37 minutes ago
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
si 7 hours, 17 minutes ago
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
si 13 hours, 44 minutes ago