Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Grizzlies @ Wolverines OAK @ MICH

OAKLAND

GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK

0-0  |  Road

78
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 8:30 PM ET
Crisler Center
View Odds Details →

MICHIGAN

WOLVERINESMICH

0-0  |  Home

121
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
100%
📊
WOLVERINES
0%
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES --
WOLVERINES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Michigan)
Golden GrizzliesOAK (-3.5) 0 WolverinesMICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Grizzlies Cover

38.2%

Wolverines Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MICH -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MICH)

OAK By 1-7 points

21.6%

OAK By 8-14 points

10.7%

MICH By 1-7 points

27.2%

MICH By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
69
OAKLAND
72
MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
65
OAKLAND
78
MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wolverines Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolverines Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wolverines (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Wolverines (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 OAK @ MICH 78 - 121
Nov 29, 2020 OAK @ MICH 71 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +16.7% more
Michigan: 3.9 vs Oakland: 3.4
Rebounding (L5) +15.5% more
Michigan: 39.9 vs Oakland: 34.6
Assists (L5) +30.0% more
Oakland: 17.9 vs Michigan: 12.5
Steals (L5) +25.0% more
Oakland: 6.1 vs Michigan: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OAK Score 69.0 78
MICH Score 72.0 121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.2 / 37.1 54.0 / 42.0
Assists 12.5 / 17.9 31.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.9 / 3.4 7.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 40.0 / 48.2 64.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 75.7 / 77.1 92.0 / 87.0
Rebounding 39.9 / 34.6 40.0 / 22.0
Steals 4.6 / 6.1 3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.6 / 12.1 8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
8%MONEY92%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OAK
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
MICH Advantage
37-3-0 (92.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OAK Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
MICH
19-21-0 (47.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.0
MICH
17-23-0
O: 42.5% / U: 57.5% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MICH
OAK
MICH
OAK
ML
78% 31-9
62% 20-12
63% 24-14
59% 19-13
ATS
78% 31-9
50% 16-16
63% 24-14
59% 19-13
TTL
57% 23-17
62% 20-12
100% 38-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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