PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
4-1 | Road
129
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
0-5 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
NETS
0%
76ERS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
PHI By 1-7 points
4.8%
PHI By 8-14 points
1.1%
BKN By 1-7 points
15.3%
BKN By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
100
PHILADELPHIA
Brooklyn
115
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
109
PHILADELPHIA
Brooklyn
115
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u233.0
Loss
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Sim
u233.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
BKN @ PHI
97 - 104
Dec 23, 2025
BKN @ PHI
114 - 106
Nov 28, 2025
PHI @ BKN
115 - 103
Nov 2, 2025
PHI @ BKN
129 - 105
Feb 22, 2025
BKN @ PHI
105 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+86.2% more
Brooklyn: 6.1
vs
Philadelphia: 3.3
Assists (L5)
+83.8% more
Brooklyn: 7.9
vs
Philadelphia: 4.3
Steals (L5)
+54.4% more
Brooklyn: 2.4
vs
Philadelphia: 1.6
Rebounding (L5)
+46.2% more
Brooklyn: 11.9
vs
Philadelphia: 8.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
100.0
129
BKN Score
115.0
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 38.2
18.0 / 38.0
Assists
7.9 / 4.3
21.0 / 34.0
Blocks
0.5 / 1.0
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 45.2
43.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
24.4 / 14.9
77.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
11.9 / 8.1
44.0 / 44.0
Steals
2.4 / 1.6
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
6.1 / 3.3
19.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
PHI
BKN
PHI
ML
53%
50-45
63%
69-40
59%
48-34
48%
45-48
ATS
52%
48-44-3
65%
71-38
59%
48-34
48%
45-48
TTL
57%
54-41
55%
60-49
100%
82-0
100%
93-0
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