AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
KNICKS
0%
BULLS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
192.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
CHI By 1-7 points
20.1%
CHI By 8-14 points
9.3%
NY By 1-7 points
27.4%
NY By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
94
CHICAGO
New York
98
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Chicago
106
CHICAGO
New York
112
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u235.5
Loss
Proj Total: 192.0
D
Sim
u235.5
Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
CHI @ NY
96 - 136
Feb 22, 2026
NY @ CHI
105 - 99
Nov 2, 2025
CHI @ NY
116 - 128
Oct 31, 2025
NY @ CHI
125 - 135
Feb 20, 2025
CHI @ NY
111 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+54.0% more
New York: 2.3
vs
Chicago: 1.5
Turnovers (L5)
+47.6% more
New York: 5.0
vs
Chicago: 3.4
Rebounding (L5)
+46.4% more
New York: 14.2
vs
Chicago: 9.7
Assists (L5)
+12.4% more
New York: 6.6
vs
Chicago: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
94.0
116
NY Score
98.0
128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 35.8
48.0 / 43.0
Assists
6.6 / 5.9
31.0 / 28.0
Blocks
1.2 / 1.4
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.4 / 45.2
45.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
23.9 / 15.3
100.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
14.2 / 9.7
47.0 / 46.0
Steals
2.3 / 1.5
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
5.0 / 3.4
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
CHI
NY
CHI
ML
61%
114-72
56%
54-42
56%
57-45
57%
46-35
ATS
67%
124-62
65%
62-33-1
56%
57-45
57%
46-35
TTL
72%
133-53
58%
56-40
100%
102-0
100%
81-0