Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Matthew Schaefer
#48 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 3.03 | 0.923 | -- |
| Matthew Schaefer | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.03
GAA
--
0.923
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
BLUE JACKETS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
CBJ By 1 goal
12.1%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NYI By 1 goal
19.7%
NYI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
New York
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
CBJ @ NYI
0 - 1
Feb 28, 2026
NYI @ CBJ
4 - 3
Dec 28, 2025
NYI @ CBJ
2 - 4
Nov 2, 2025
CBJ @ NYI
2 - 3
Apr 17, 2025
NYI @ CBJ
1 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+10.8% more
New York: 18.7
vs
Columbus: 16.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.5%
New York: 55.8%
vs
Columbus: 50.3%
Power Play % (L5)
+21.2%
Columbus: 30.6%
vs
New York: 9.5%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+17.4% more
Columbus: 33.1
vs
New York: 27.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
3.0
2
NYI Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.8 / 14.3
10.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
55.8 / 50.3
68.1 / 31.9
Hits
18.7 / 16.9
10.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
9.5 / 30.6
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.4 / 33.1
39.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 4.4
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
CBJ
NYI
CBJ
ML
67%
2-1
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
TTL
100%
2-0-1
50%
1-1
100%
2-0-1
0%
0-2