DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
8-4-0 | Road
3
SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
4-6-2 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Alex Nedeljkovic
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Alex Nedeljkovic | None-None | 1.85 | 0.938 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.85
--
Save %
0.938
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
SHARKS
0%
RED WINGS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SAN JOSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (San Jose)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJ)
DET By 1 goal
12.1%
DET By 2-3 goals
9.3%
SJ By 1 goal
19.7%
SJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
San Jose
4
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
Detroit
2
DETROIT
San Jose
4
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sharks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sharks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 16, 2026
SJ @ DET
2 - 4
Nov 2, 2025
DET @ SJ
3 - 2
Jan 14, 2025
SJ @ DET
6 - 3
Nov 18, 2024
DET @ SJ
4 - 5
Jan 2, 2024
DET @ SJ
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+35.2% more
San Jose: 4.2
vs
Detroit: 3.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+14.5% more
San Jose: 16.1
vs
Detroit: 14.1
Power Play % (L5)
+18.9%
Detroit: 32.7%
vs
San Jose: 13.8%
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.3%
Detroit: 56.1%
vs
San Jose: 49.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.0
3
SJ Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.1 / 14.1
19.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
49.8 / 56.1
37.0 / 63.0
Hits
17.5 / 16.2
16.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
1381.0 / 3268.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.9 / 27.7
18.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 3.1
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
DET
SJ
DET
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Dylan Larkin Cleared to Return: Red Wings Star Set for Season De…
Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…