Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Owls BC @ FAU

BOSTON COLLEGE

EAGLESBC

0-0  |  Road

78
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA ATLANTIC

OWLSFAU

0-0  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
OWLS
0%
EAGLES --
OWLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Florida Atlantic)
EaglesBC (-3.5) 0 OwlsFAU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

38.2%

Owls Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FAU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAU)

BC By 1-7 points

21.6%

BC By 8-14 points

10.7%

FAU By 1-7 points

27.2%

FAU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
69
BOSTON COLLEGE
72
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Simulated Score
70
BOSTON COLLEGE
78
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Owls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Owls Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Owls (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Owls (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u148.5 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 BC @ FAU 78 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +40.9% more
Florida Atlantic: 16.3 vs Boston College: 11.5
Blocks (L5) +24.9% more
Florida Atlantic: 4.7 vs Boston College: 3.7
Rebounding (L5) +17.5% more
Florida Atlantic: 36.1 vs Boston College: 30.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.3%
Florida Atlantic: 33.5% vs Boston College: 28.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BC Score 69.0 78
FAU Score 72.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.5 / 28.2 52.0 / 36.0
Assists 16.3 / 11.5 15.0 / 12.0
Blocks 4.7 / 3.7 10.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.2 / 42.0 43.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 68.2 / 68.7 52.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 36.1 / 30.7 38.0 / 52.0
Steals 3.9 / 5.8 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 10.7 12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BC
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
FAU Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BC
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
FAU Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -3.7
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FAU
BC
FAU
BC
ML
64% 21-12
61% 19-12
66% 21-11
61% 17-11
ATS
70% 23-10
73% 22-8-1
66% 21-11
61% 17-11
TTL
58% 19-14
61% 19-12
100% 32-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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