Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lumberjacks @ Bulldogs NAU @ DRKE

NORTHERN ARIZONA

LUMBERJACKSNAU

0-0  |  Road

71
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 4:00 PM ET
Sanford Pentagon
View Odds Details →

DRAKE

BULLDOGSDRKE

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77
AI Model Win Probability
LUMBERJACKS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
LUMBERJACKS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DRAKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Drake)
LumberjacksNAU (-3.5) 0 BulldogsDRKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lumberjacks Cover

46.0%

Bulldogs Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DRKE -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DRKE)

NAU By 1-7 points

24.3%

NAU By 8-14 points

13.7%

DRKE By 1-7 points

26.2%

DRKE By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
62
NORTHERN ARIZONA
63
DRAKE
Simulated Score
65
NORTHERN ARIZONA
78
DRAKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 NAU @ DRKE 71 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +246.0% more
Drake: 3.0 vs Northern Arizona: 0.6
Assists (L5) +20.6% more
Drake: 14.5 vs Northern Arizona: 12.0
Steals (L5) +20.1% more
Drake: 7.8 vs Northern Arizona: 6.5
Free Throw % (L5) +5.4%
Drake: 65.7% vs Northern Arizona: 60.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NAU Score 62.0 71
DRKE Score 63.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.9 / 38.1 32.0 / 42.0
Assists 14.5 / 12.0 13.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.0 / 0.6 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.8 / 45.8 45.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 65.7 / 60.3 73.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 29.4 / 31.7 46.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.8 / 6.5 2.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 9.1 / 9.7 10.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NAU
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -2.7
DRKE Advantage
14-20-0 (41.2%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NAU Advantage
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -2.7
DRKE
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
NAU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -2.3
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DRKE
NAU
DRKE
NAU
ML
59% 20-14
62% 20-12
38% 13-21
81% 26-6
ATS
85% 29-5
62% 20-12
38% 13-21
81% 26-6
TTL
56% 19-15
66% 21-11
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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