COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
7-1-4 | Road
2
SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
3-6-2 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Yaroslav Askarov
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 2.91 | 0.870 | -- |
| Yaroslav Askarov | None-None | 1.94 | 0.974 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.91
GAA
Ldr 1.94
0.870
Save %
Ldr 0.974
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
SHARKS
100%
AVALANCHE
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
17.5%
COL By 2-3 goals
37.2%
SJ By 1 goal
6.6%
SJ By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
San Jose
1
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
Colorado
2
COLORADO
San Jose
5
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Avalanche
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Avalanche (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
SJ @ COL
2 - 4
Nov 26, 2025
SJ @ COL
0 - 6
Nov 1, 2025
COL @ SJ
2 - 3
Mar 6, 2025
SJ @ COL
3 - 7
Dec 19, 2024
COL @ SJ
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+40.3% more
Colorado: 5.5
vs
San Jose: 3.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.1% more
Colorado: 32.5
vs
San Jose: 28.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.9% more
San Jose: 19.2
vs
Colorado: 16.4
Power Play % (L5)
+4.6%
San Jose: 20.7%
vs
Colorado: 16.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.0
2
SJ Score
1.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.2 / 16.4
10.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
49.3 / 49.0
50.7 / 49.3
Hits
18.2 / 18.1
16.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
2071.0 / 1615.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.9 / 32.5
23.0 / 38.0
Takeaways
3.3 / 5.5
6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
COL
SJ
COL
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
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