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MINNESOTA

TIMBERWOLVESMIN

2-3  |  Road

122
FINAL
Sat, Nov 1 • 6:00 PM ET
Spectrum Center
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

2-3  |  Home

105
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
TimberwolvesMIN (-3.5) 0 HornetsCHA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Timberwolves Cover

42.1%

Hornets Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHA +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)

MIN By 1-7 points

26.8%

MIN By 8-14 points

18.6%

CHA By 1-7 points

23.0%

CHA By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
110
MINNESOTA
108
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
117
MINNESOTA
108
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Timberwolves Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Timberwolves Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hornets (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Timberwolves (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u234.0 Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Sim u234.0 Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 5, 2026 CHA @ MIN 122 - 108
Nov 1, 2025 MIN @ CHA 122 - 105
Mar 5, 2025 MIN @ CHA 125 - 110
Nov 4, 2024 CHA @ MIN 93 - 114
Jan 22, 2024 CHA @ MIN 128 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +53.8% more
Minnesota: 1.6 vs Charlotte: 0.7
Steals (L5) +40.3% more
Minnesota: 2.2 vs Charlotte: 1.3
Turnovers (L5) +29.6% more
Minnesota: 5.0 vs Charlotte: 3.5
Rebounding (L5) +22.0% more
Minnesota: 13.0 vs Charlotte: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 110.0 122
CHA Score 108.0 105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 45.9 / 47.4 29.0 / 47.0
Assists 5.8 / 7.2 23.0 / 31.0
Blocks 0.7 / 1.6 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 52.3 / 48.2 40.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 14.1 / 21.5 89.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 10.1 / 13.0 45.0 / 38.0
Steals 1.3 / 2.2 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 3.5 / 5.0 14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
55%MONEY45%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
67%MONEY33%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
55-39-0 (58.5%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
CHA
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0 (44.7%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3% Total +/-: +0.8
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
MIN
CHA
MIN
ML
61% 60-39
54% 63-53
48% 40-44
54% 50-43
ATS
60% 59-40
58% 67-49
48% 40-44
54% 50-43
TTL
58% 57-42
63% 72-43-1
100% 84-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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